Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 518.848698 551.782356 586.010238 624.299505 666.009827 710.149572 760.496831
2026-01-04 473.738530 518.724214 567.345763 624.014833 688.516624 759.963171 845.523337
2026-01-11 447.055834 499.456769 557.657501 627.490936 709.532137 803.507486 920.238102
2026-01-18 424.550547 482.075758 547.397463 627.671563 724.501880 838.615245 984.896538
2026-01-25 408.856572 470.872701 542.673443 632.800048 744.121458 878.746293 1056.411994
2026-02-01 395.893588 461.713143 539.248807 638.452644 763.661403 918.733416 1129.025490
2026-02-08 385.164951 454.371507 537.198308 645.057755 783.958631 959.895454 1204.756616
2026-02-15 372.965626 444.430919 531.165249 645.900865 796.352597 990.843969 1268.061307
2026-02-22 361.826024 435.161807 525.321095 646.339951 807.741087 1020.446496 1330.618653
2026-03-01 352.885520 428.167298 521.867627 649.419888 822.355362 1054.606018 1401.019218
2026-03-08 342.874339 419.319894 515.529645 648.174445 830.730945 1080.196402 1460.181334
2026-03-15 334.468676 412.159006 510.986595 648.932841 841.587409 1109.393420 1525.927234
2026-03-22 326.169734 404.843339 505.946655 648.748854 851.024441 1136.920868 1590.812769
2026-03-29 318.527795 398.086200 501.326908 648.815353 860.605032 1164.841869 1657.708715
2026-04-05 312.714309 393.518688 499.405511 652.419096 875.214333 1200.614268 1738.885456
2026-04-12 306.029701 387.524293 495.271159 652.618671 884.677644 1228.874402 1809.504439
2026-04-19 301.573817 384.374898 494.870560 658.020480 901.908619 1269.624937 1903.104485
2026-04-26 297.557742 381.665435 494.926415 663.977094 920.077303 1312.547922 2003.098759
2026-05-03 294.089303 379.571854 495.716755 670.938329 939.937428 1358.975507 2112.233861
2026-05-10 288.833105 374.810603 492.540592 671.827000 950.306379 1390.454772 2196.986719
2026-05-17 283.701820 370.063617 489.205867 672.289817 959.909806 1420.984827 2281.963211
2026-05-24 279.670230 366.742836 487.788529 675.536382 973.965139 1459.476353 2384.266342
2026-05-31 274.451915 361.579998 483.522079 674.223526 980.526660 1485.470012 2464.672395